Quote:
Originally Posted by Latekick
Do you have any input or screenshots on how the #1 just won the 5th race..
Another horse that i found impossible to get
|
Latekick,
Don't take me wrong. I am not beating you up, picking on you or anything like that.
It is just that in my quotes from you, I see myself
Absolutely anyone who has spent time handicapping has experienced what you are going through.
You handicap a race beforehand. You miss the race. You look at it to see what went wrong in your analysis. Ang guess what? You don't find anything. No matter how hard you look or try to rationalize, you can't find anything.
That is just racing. You won't "get it" sometimes.
There is some debate over whether or not to go back over a race. Jimmy Bradshaw started out going back and looking back but after a period of time stopped looking back at races that he handicapped feeling that it messed up his thinking. I can see his point. When you look at a race and just don't know how a horse could have won that race you begin to rationalize.... very dangerous to your game.
On the otherhand, a great majority of people do go back and they can see what jumps out at them for what they could have done. This is all well and good as long as you can apply that experience when necessary and it is based on correct theory. Unfortunately, most people cannot or do not.
Playing poker is the same way. The idea is to learn the theory and apply the theory because one isolated instant does not make what you did right or wrong. You can make a bad decision and win. You can make a good decision and lose - in any one hand. I think this also applies to handicapping. While you can look at a race, what matters is applying the correct theory over many races and not being critical over one isolated race.
Handicapping is not about being correct or right all of the time. It is about making good decisions. Once the gate opens, you have no control over the event, the horses do. If you made good decisions beforehand and a horse comes from out of nowhere, that is just racing. You made the correct decisions whether you get to the horse or not.
Again, latekick, I am not being critical of you so please do not take what I write the wrong way. My writing is almost like therapy for me because these are issues I struggle with too. Take it for what it is. If it makes sense, use it. If you think I'm full of it, that is fine too. Just don't think it is a personal attack on you or anyone else.
Jim