|
One thing you always have to pay attention to is form cycles, one thing that immediately stood out to me is Sinorice puts out a peak effort every 5 starts. Sometimes it's just by chance that this happens, whether it's class or distance or surface that has a bearing on this, it's up to you to decide.
I always look for cycles in the PP's, it is very telling on what could possibly happen today, but make sure you look at the conditions and distance to see if that had any affect on the cycle. Some horse's run well every other start, for some it's every 3rd start, or 4th start, or 5th start and so on.
Once you have established all the form cycles of the runners in a particular race, look at the best Total Energy rating of each entrant, i usually stay within a calender year and stay within the same distance and surface. If you have a price horse that you think is coming into form, and his or her numbers are competitive against the other contenders, drop the hammer!
Some horses are all over the place, and there's not much you can do about that, but some horses are very telling and they usually follow a pattern, so use it to your advantage.
|