Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Race Analysis Process

Because I Can Jim · 08-16-2013, 01:13 AM

Tim,
Thanks for the kind words.
I had not considered what a 2w/4p/12s wager would look like. I definitely will look into it and if you see me change, you will know why!

vderdak,
In the 6th race I wagered on H5. See the Amwager log.
I included the Segments screen. I was considering at 1 MTP the:
H4 at 4-1
H5 at 5-1 placing a 2w/4p/8s wager on this horse
H6 at 2-1
Hindsight being what it is, I was placing too much emphasis on the early running styles in the race instead of the sustained. My intuition was hitting me in the back of the head to pass the race, but, I did not listen (a skill we all must learn to develop). As you can see from the results the H4 wired the field and the contra horses 1 and 2 came in as place and show. The H2 going off at 19-1 and paying 8.20 was a killer. For a $14 wager, the return would have been 32.80 for a profit of 18.80.
WOULDA, SHOULDA, COULDA!!!

And that is handicapping. I made a mistake even though I had the winner as one of the horses I liked.

Hope that helps.
Jim

08-16-2013, 01:13 AM	#12
Because I Can Jim Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 203	Mnr 6 081313 Tim, Thanks for the kind words. I had not considered what a 2w/4p/12s wager would look like. I definitely will look into it and if you see me change, you will know why! vderdak, In the 6th race I wagered on H5. See the Amwager log. I included the Segments screen. I was considering at 1 MTP the: H4 at 4-1 H5 at 5-1 placing a 2w/4p/8s wager on this horse H6 at 2-1 Hindsight being what it is, I was placing too much emphasis on the early running styles in the race instead of the sustained. My intuition was hitting me in the back of the head to pass the race, but, I did not listen (a skill we all must learn to develop). As you can see from the results the H4 wired the field and the contra horses 1 and 2 came in as place and show. The H2 going off at 19-1 and paying 8.20 was a killer. For a $14 wager, the return would have been 32.80 for a profit of 18.80. WOULDA, SHOULDA, COULDA!!! And that is handicapping. I made a mistake even though I had the winner as one of the horses I liked. Hope that helps. Jim Attached Images __________________ I can explain it to you, but, I can't understand it for you.