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Old 08-20-2013, 09:26 PM   #17
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Jim

Hi Jim

First off good job getting this winner yesterday at MNR in race 9

I wonder why you set the fulcrum POR so slow at 116.6

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If I was to set a POR I would use Jim Bradshaw's method of finding a horse that
was truly on the lead in its recent races
( I've used the fulcrum method ) but I found that often the horses I was using
were not producing a accurate POR. But If I had a E8 or E7 running style
horse who was on the lead at the same track and distance in a recent line
It was much more accurate

Look at your winner I suppose you did not use its last line
as the fulcrum because it faded to finish 11 back.
But looking at this E7 runner and its previous running lines, beside line 5
when it ran as fast as it needed to ,and still went wire to wire with a 116
I don't see the POR in this race being 116.6. because of the 7

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It actually ran just fast enough to stay ahead of the 7 horse with a 115.5
POR and the 7 just won going 115.5

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