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Old 08-29-2013, 11:39 AM   #3
Ted Craven
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,258
Quote:
Originally Posted by Segwin View Post
Perhaps it doesn't matter as the job is to compare each horse against each other for this race.
Terry,

I can only echo lone speed's first sentence and your final supposition. The beauty of looking at a race as a today matchup - never before encountered quite like this one - is that all you need to know about how an Early horse will fare today is right there in the PPs.

Usually, if no other Early horse can match a faster Early at the 1st call, the slower one is not the winner. Certainly true by the 2nd call mentioned by Tom B. So, in one race at one track the early pace may be 22.2 45.1 if no one else can run to that, while in a different race (same track, same card) if all an Early horse needs to run is 23 - 46 to stay ahead of any other Earlies, then that slower pace is the one for that race. BTW, in such cases, the double red 0.0s at the first 2 calls on the RDSS Segments screen tells the tale.

(Not that knowing the runup and the usual, or daily or intra-day early/late bias of a track is not useful or interesting. Though, a separate discussion from your opening quote from MPH.)

HTH,

Ted
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