Just some stats from Parx
Here is a problem with hiding the low odds horse under 5/2 and then betting into the race. At this percentages I find it hard to get anywhere.
In my last 1200 races at Parx
The winner paid less than 2.50/1 to win 492 times or 41 percent
Not that anybody could or would play every race for 1200 consecutive races
But if you had. its almost a 50-50 chance right off the top you will lose.
Another problem is wrong place wrong time, You can go many races and run into streaks were low odds horses are winning I have had 10 out of 15 race
streaks were a low odds horse won
here is a snip from my DB I have marked a 100 anytime a horse won under 2.50 /1 they come along pretty often don't they.
I tried to make paper bets wager capping and hiding any horse under 5/2 for win. Ted and I talked about this test I was doing at the recent Pace and Cap
day at Del Mar. I have decided to stop the test because after 600 races
I was just about $100 ahead. yes hiding the favorite will probably make
you a profit but can I live off of a $100 profit after 600 races ? No .
The problem also is the strings of races were the winner pays less that 5/2
is hard to take emotionally. Also don't forget the fact that your betting two horses so you also have that built in loss to deal with.
Bill