Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V.
Hi Terry
Without knowing anything about the connections for her I would take a guess,
that this is a small barn ?. She took forever to find the winner circle
against maiden claimers but earned some money with a few in the money finishes. She finally won at a MC 16 routing.
The rule of thumb is a maiden claimer winner probably finds its winning level at 1/2 the maiden claiming level. That would be about a $8000 claimer.
Now after the maiden win what did the connections do with this
still young filly ? They put it against Stater Optional s probably because they wanted to see what she could do. But not risk losing her.
After figuring out how to win this is a test.
That did not go well. They probably realize she is not much. Then they start
her in the claiming races at $20000. After two tries its clear she is not
anything great so now they finally drop her to the CL $8000 level
which is probably her level if she is not hurt ?
Bill
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Bill, I agree with everything you said here. Noticed that they raised her one class to Md16000 from Md12500 on the day of her Mdn win. Not seeing or knowing much about sire lines, looks like this horse may take to an off track, or liked the stretch out. Her career is, 1 win in 6 tries at this S/D. Not horrible.
Trainer is winning at 17% and in $$ 50% if I recall correctly. Not all that bad.
Now comes my question, how do you get a line to use on a horse like this. We agree that C8000 might just be the level for her to be competitive but she does not have a + or (+) line in her last three.
The 4th race back, her win, was on a sloppy track. Use this as it was a win and today's race is for non-winners of 2 lifetime? Or go back 89 days to her second place finish at Crc? She ran + races at 2 different tracks while routing, so much of the question is, how will she handle Tampa's surface?
I'd like to see how she compares to others in this race, but would probably want a bit of a price. If this is from today's card, I have not downloaded any info. today.
Ray