I was looking through the card for Thursday at Belmont. This seems like the first race worth betting so far (Maidens/Chalk...ugh). I
Lets walk through the field:
#1: I don't have her as a contender. She hasn't been relevant in the last 4 races.
#2: 3rd favorite and is a contender
#3: Again- She wasn't relevant over the last 4 races. Not a contender:
#4: The second favorite. 2nd race off a layoff. Lost by 28 lengths the last out. I searched for a reason to forgive the last two races. I don't like to make injury assumptions, but this horse just doesn't seem the same. I know it's dropping down in class, but she just wan't remotely relevant in either of its last two race. The only usable lines are over 300 days ago....
I looked for reasons to forgive the last two, but I just can't bring myself to give this horse it's 3rd line back. She's not the same. I am starting to get excited because I just threw out the second favorite.
#5: I'm a little confused about what to do with this horse. 2nd race back was a route in the slop- so it's forgiven. I'm waivering on whether to throw the last race out and give it it's 3rd line back.
FOR NOW I am going to give it its 3rd line back... and we will revisit the conversation in a second.
