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Old 08-09-2014, 09:21 PM   #6
Bill Lyster
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,500
No, I always side with the preponderance of evidence 1/25 is many volumes worth.

However just recently I saw a horse that was 1/15 most of them foreign starts. This horse had 3 or 4 US starts and had been consistently a contender, ie finishing up close at 2nd call and or stretch (2.5 lengths in sprints, 3.5 L in routes up to 8.5 f and 4 L back at same calls in races of 9 furlongs or longer.

Nice win. Usually these kind of horses have one good race and all the rest duds, which leads one to exclude them often, often, often.

Bill
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