|
GeorgeC, I found this very helpful determining Early and who is capable of going wire to wire.
It's simple and effective:
Early is a runner that can go wire-to-wire, without a challenge from any other runner in
the race. If this is true the race will run Early. Otherwise, the race is going to run Other
Than Early. There are certain things to look for before making deciding how the race
“sets” up.
Evaluate the runners in today’s race and decide the running style of all runners. Next,
look at the Early Runners and evaluate them and ask yourself the following questions:
1. Look at the first fraction and see which horse will have the lead.
2. What type of lead does the runner need: Open lengths, or can the runner fight?
3. What happens if he is challenged?
4. Are there any early challengers in today’s race?
5. Is the runner a quitter?
If there isn’t a horse that has the lead at the first fraction, look at horses that are close to
the lead and gain the lead at the second call. Give these horses the lead by default. Most
of these races run Other Than Early.
Mike
|