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Old 11-01-2018, 09:13 AM   #13
lone speed
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
Unknown factors

in evaluating a race, if there are too many unknown factors, it does behooves one to pass the race. Every entrant should have 3 North American pace lines.

IMO, this BC Classic race has two entrants that will be tough to evaluate= John Gosden's Roaring Lion and Thunder Snow who has only one North American pace line.

Roaring Lion is a multiple Group One winner from Europe and is trained by a former Southern California trainer, John Gosden. If one decides to play this race; one has to evaluate if Roaring Lion is another Giant Causeway or Sahkee who both transformed their turf form and ran very well on dirt on their first attempt but both lost to Tiznow who won the Classic in successive years.

I will always remember Gosden's statement/opinion where he said that the last furlong that is run in most major French race course and several in England are run uphill. As a rule of thumb, you add two furlongs to the distances that were run. Example 6 Furlongs in French turf courses equates to 8 Furlongs or one mile. One mile from France equates to running 10 Furlongs in US tracks; usually.

The favorite, Accelerate and both Catholic Boy and Yoshida are not my top contenders in this match-up.

Good skills
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