Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Bill V. · 01-26-2017, 09:55 PM

Here are my pace line selections

Pace lines

Horse 1 , Its 3 best TPRs are 176.5 177.0 and 178.7
Recent form does not indicate a 5 point improvement is likely today.
Line 1 is + race with a slight drop in class today.
The line is a off track but with a 11 DTV but I will use it

Horse 2 Back off a 37 day layoff, Its best TPR's are 179,twice 179.5 and 178.8 in the last
line at the same class level and distance no reason to go past line 1.

Horse 3 Off 50 days. Its best TPR's are 175.2 178.7 175.9 but recent form is a issue.
In these cases of a horse off a layoff, I look at a similar layoff patterns
I will use line 4 line from a gd LRL race afer aa 39 day layoff.

Horse 4 Our fulcrum horse Fresh off a 29 day layoff 'freshener'
Its best TPR's are 176.2 177.5 176.2 and 178.2 i will use line 2 only because the 178.2 maybe
because of the off track and I am worried to give a best ever line to a horse off a layoff
with no workouts. So Line 2

Horse 5 Best TPR's are 180.5 178.7 and 180.5 I will use line 2 for the exact same reason as horse 4
except horse 5 has run 180 before and I will excuse the sly line 1. So Line 2

Horse 6 Best TPR's are 182 179 and 177 twice Same race as the 4 and 5 and again I excuse the Sly line 1 and will
use line 2.

Horse 7 Best TPR's are 178, 179.5 and 175.9, This is a dangerous horse. The last line could have a higher tpr
but for a not so hot 83.4 LPR . This horse has form issues.
It ran a 92.5 EPR against CL 10's but faded, first back off a layoff, Now today its back again off a layoff
plus its dropping below its claiming price I will use line 1.

01-26-2017, 09:55 PM	#13
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Pace lines Here are my pace line selections Pace lines Horse 1 , Its 3 best TPRs are 176.5 177.0 and 178.7 Recent form does not indicate a 5 point improvement is likely today. Line 1 is + race with a slight drop in class today. The line is a off track but with a 11 DTV but I will use it Horse 2 Back off a 37 day layoff, Its best TPR's are 179,twice 179.5 and 178.8 in the last line at the same class level and distance no reason to go past line 1. Horse 3 Off 50 days. Its best TPR's are 175.2 178.7 175.9 but recent form is a issue. In these cases of a horse off a layoff, I look at a similar layoff patterns I will use line 4 line from a gd LRL race afer aa 39 day layoff. Horse 4 Our fulcrum horse Fresh off a 29 day layoff 'freshener' Its best TPR's are 176.2 177.5 176.2 and 178.2 i will use line 2 only because the 178.2 maybe because of the off track and I am worried to give a best ever line to a horse off a layoff with no workouts. So Line 2 Horse 5 Best TPR's are 180.5 178.7 and 180.5 I will use line 2 for the exact same reason as horse 4 except horse 5 has run 180 before and I will excuse the sly line 1. So Line 2 Horse 6 Best TPR's are 182 179 and 177 twice Same race as the 4 and 5 and again I excuse the Sly line 1 and will use line 2. Horse 7 Best TPR's are 178, 179.5 and 175.9, This is a dangerous horse. The last line could have a higher tpr but for a not so hot 83.4 LPR . This horse has form issues. It ran a 92.5 EPR against CL 10's but faded, first back off a layoff, Now today its back again off a layoff plus its dropping below its claiming price I will use line 1.