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Haw #4
The horse I went right to is the early sprinter; the 5. Normally, horses that route well don't look like this. But, the 5 is 1 for 2 at the distance. He has a 3rd in his only race on an off-track and the track was very sloppy yesterday. If I take his last race when he was fighting and add 2/5 to the final time and 6 2/5 to that time to get a 6 furlong time I get 1:11.4 which is quite a bit faster than these other horses.
His final fraction in the last race when he fought was 19 1/5 which is pretty fast given the first quarter fighting time. In one race where he got loose at AP, he ran 18 1/5 in the last furlong and a half.
The 5 is my choice to win the race.
Tim
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