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Old 04-26-2016, 10:53 PM   #4
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Phase 1 TPR lessons

My readouts and thoughts

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I showed in a couple of my horses the EPR ratings they ran against
they were over 92
Now look at today who has the best EPR ? Its horse 5 with a 90.5
The 2 is 2 points or lengths behind
The 4 is 4 lengths behind
The 3 is 7 lengths back is 7 too much ? It has the good LPR 94
The 1 ! It will be 11 lengths back. It ran its pace line race against a 79 epr (it was on the lead) There is no way the 1 will see a early pace of 79 today. The top 3 TPR horse are 5 3 and 4.
The top 3 VDC are 1 3 4

My bets 3 and 4 A Sustained and a Sustained presser
Why? because they will be close enough to a moderate 90 EPR pace .
With strong over 92 LPR ratings can over take the EP and Pressers

I'm sorry it is only $15 You won't look like the smartest guy in the room.
but I will take this every day

Bill

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Last edited by Bill V.; 04-26-2016 at 11:47 PM.
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