Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Filly & Mare Sprint - Race 3

lsosa54 · 10-22-2008, 08:39 PM

Although Dearest Trickski may have enough class here, she is going to get heavy competition early from Indyanne and Dream Rush and she's got the least dominant early speed of the bunch. This will make 7f on the poly very difficult for her even though she'll be outside of the other 2. I'm also not sure she's fast enough final speed wise.

La Tee runs a bit too close to the front in this race for my liking without any real pace advantages early or late. Her speed figures are a bit low and I'm not thrilled about her class.

Tiz Elemental probably has the best running style for this of the 3 you mentioned but I'm not sure she's fast enough or has the requisite class and het late pace ratings are not dominant here by any means.

I'd be looking more for a contender like Intangaroo, Miraculous Miss, Zaftig, or possibly Ventura. If you want a real bomb that's light on class but may get a setup, look at Magnificience.

At 6f, I'd take a look at Indyanne, who is definitely improving, as inside speed to possibly steal this but at 7f, it's going to be tough. I saw here race at KEE and she just held on and there wasn't that much early pace.

I need to do a bit more work on this race.

10-22-2008, 08:39 PM	#2
lsosa54 Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: NYC and San Diego Posts: 627	Although Dearest Trickski may have enough class here, she is going to get heavy competition early from Indyanne and Dream Rush and she's got the least dominant early speed of the bunch. This will make 7f on the poly very difficult for her even though she'll be outside of the other 2. I'm also not sure she's fast enough final speed wise. La Tee runs a bit too close to the front in this race for my liking without any real pace advantages early or late. Her speed figures are a bit low and I'm not thrilled about her class. Tiz Elemental probably has the best running style for this of the 3 you mentioned but I'm not sure she's fast enough or has the requisite class and het late pace ratings are not dominant here by any means. I'd be looking more for a contender like Intangaroo, Miraculous Miss, Zaftig, or possibly Ventura. If you want a real bomb that's light on class but may get a setup, look at Magnificience. At 6f, I'd take a look at Indyanne, who is definitely improving, as inside speed to possibly steal this but at 7f, it's going to be tough. I saw here race at KEE and she just held on and there wasn't that much early pace. I need to do a bit more work on this race. Last edited by lsosa54; 10-22-2008 at 08:42 PM.