[Bill Lyster]

BC Sprint Analysis:

Just as a note: I will not use anything other than raw Dmr times because
variants crank up the rest of the readouts too much for my taste.

#1 - EP, won as both E and EP, can run from 1-4 position, line 1
2 - S, only such type in race, will run from 9th, line 1 or 4
3 - E only, will be first or not at all, line 3
4 - P, will run from 7th-8th in this field, (see below)
5 - EP, running from either 2nd or 3rd pos, line 8
6 - EP, can run either 1st-4th pos, line 1
7 - P, runs from 4-5th pos, lines 1-5-6
8 - P, running from 3rd or farther back, lines 1-4
9 - EP, anywhere in top three positions, line 1

First I put in only the E and EP types and looked for probable pace.

Pace: 21.7 - 44.4 from #9, line 1

As a result #3 can't be clear by stretch, #6 is slowest of EP types and #5
is fading off a 108.7. Several in this race go under 108. So I left in the
1 and 9 and then entered all the OTE types.

#4, Last year's BC winner's best time was either in the BC or race just
before - that 109 will be too slow this year - OUT

#8 can run with these early but fades in stretch, OUT

So now I'm left with the pace setter, #9 against probably #1 heading to the
stretch call. The problem for me is whether the #1 will get involved too
much with the pace, since when he ran 4th he was less than a length off the
pace. His stretch call time should cook off the #9.

I am left with In Summation and Street Boss, both of whom look to be running
in their accustomed positions during this race. In Summation won from up
close off a 54.4 stretch call at SA, so my top choice is #7, second choice
#2, with the 1 and 9 for show.

Good luck to the rest of you,

Bill