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Old 03-05-2008, 07:59 AM   #5
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
Now you can check the pp's listed earlier as a reference. Let's go through the field looking at the sprint lines of each horse.

#1 fast and last line - Early
#2 slow and OUT
#3 fast and line 2 - other than early
#4 last 3 races can't compete against slower paces and OUT
#5 line 2 against todays pace -can't compete and OUT
#6 fast and line 5 - other than early
#7 slow and OUT
#8 marginal at best. let's use last line and line 7.

Here now is a screen shot showing the above scenario and lines. I've now added the #1's 6f time on the projected pace tab just to show how fast this sucker potentially is.

couple of things now stand out when looking at the mix:
1) #1 is lone early and has the lead at the FASTEST 6f mark of all the lines shown

2) There is not even a horse running in the 2nd position at either the 1st or 2nd calls to challenge the #1.

Now the only question that needs answering is: Can the #1 get his "comfort zone" lead early on of 2 lengths?

Comparing sprints to sprints it seems most likely he will. Would you agree?

This is EXACTLY what Jim taught me to do and now it is passed on to YOU.
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