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Old 05-17-2019, 03:29 PM   #3
rdiam
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
Here are my 2 cents:

My main win contenders are 7,4,8, with a possible longshot in the 5.

Looks to me like the 4 and 9 are need the lead types, with lots of early pace pressure, but the 7 is likely to actually get the lead in the first fraction, and then struggle a bit in the second fraction if pressed too hard by the 4. The 9 probably won't get the lead. The question with the 7 is whether she can hold on in the third fraction without spitting the bit.

If the 4 can run her race without getting the lead, she has a very even running style throughout the race, and is the fastest horse based on final time speed.

If the 4,7, and 9 go out too early, it sets the race up for the 8 to close.

5 is an interesting longshot: she should be up close early, make a middle move, and try to hold on.

2 has the best third fraction and will be flying in the stretch, might want to use underneath if playing exotics.

My fair win odds line: 7 @ 2-1
4 @ 5/2
8 @ 7/2
5 @ 12-1

Good luck.

Richard
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