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Actually guys its just the opposite as their the worse favorites to beat. They win far more than their share and their impact value is over 4. Your chance of beating those type favorites is very slim indeed.
"Tells you where to focus to beat the favorite." Where's that? I'm missing something here. I'm always looking to improve my game ,please share. With them winning 55% or so I don't see where that is at.
One thing about Sartin was he always gave credit as to where he obtained stuff. Qurin deserves that credit as it was his research that brought about that information to the racing world. Old farts like Lt1 and me have been around to know that high weights and odds on favorites have been around for more than 35 years or more.
I understand your high respect for FTL and his handicapping prowess but I'm sure he probably just an old fart like Lt1 and I.
Here's the point,give credit where credit is due. Get a copy of Quirin book for yourself. You would be amazed how it can improve your game even through its 38 or so years old. He was the founding Father when it comes to statistical studies and doesn't get the credit due him just as Sartin doesn't when it comes to pace handicapping.
Being well aware of Qurin's stuff I've been employing parts of it for many many years. Money can't be made on those low paying odds on favorites and winning 3 times their share of races, how can we take advantage of that? Well here is an idea reduce the extension of your bet by not trying to beat it. What it does give you is an extremely high % of a key horse. You pretty much have half of the EX. by doing northing or DD or 1 leg in a P3. An even with those low paying winners profit can still be made. And the perfect example occurred with Justify yesterday. A $89 EX and $458 Tri. AS Brohamer said if its the best horse why you trying to beat it?
While FTL may keep many of records I'm sure he'll admit it came from Quirin. Quirin can improve your game in many ways. Just a shame he doesn't get the credit deserved nor Sartin in the racing world. Their ideas don't get lost but they do get unintentionally attributed to others by the young or new to the game.
Where would any of us be without those masters?
Mitch44
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