Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

barryt · 03-13-2020, 01:01 AM

Tex Mitch
I didn’t understand every thing but I certainly got the drift.
My point is yes the top 3 TPRs win most of the races but by adding grow up points or 2TS points an otherwise also ran could jump up into the top 3
As it happens I have a perfect example o illustrate this in Friday’s card at OP
R7 the 1 & 4 both raced at SAR in JulyAug with 84. &83 ratings and both tried graded stakes. The 4 continued racing and earned a 95 SR in Feb. The 1 stopped racing in SEp. Now are we going to use it’s July pace line of July SR 84 TPR of 177 that makes it an also ran or bring it up to equal that of of the 4 SR 95 TPR 190which makes it a prime contender?
This is what I wrestle with and most of the time I do the upgrade and get say 8-1 on a 3-1 horse.
With the upgrade I have
#1 E 121 that’s 1 EPR,2 FFR, & 1 TPR I’m using Bris figures throughout.
#4 P 132
#6 P x12
It’s very close as 1 and 4 tied EPR and 1 was 2 better in TPR that both 4&6
Well see what happens, yesterday FFR was king.

03-13-2020, 01:01 AM	#15
barryt Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 125	Tex Mitch I didn’t understand every thing but I certainly got the drift. My point is yes the top 3 TPRs win most of the races but by adding grow up points or 2TS points an otherwise also ran could jump up into the top 3 As it happens I have a perfect example o illustrate this in Friday’s card at OP R7 the 1 & 4 both raced at SAR in JulyAug with 84. &83 ratings and both tried graded stakes. The 4 continued racing and earned a 95 SR in Feb. The 1 stopped racing in SEp. Now are we going to use it’s July pace line of July SR 84 TPR of 177 that makes it an also ran or bring it up to equal that of of the 4 SR 95 TPR 190which makes it a prime contender? This is what I wrestle with and most of the time I do the upgrade and get say 8-1 on a 3-1 horse. With the upgrade I have #1 E 121 that’s 1 EPR,2 FFR, & 1 TPR I’m using Bris figures throughout. #4 P 132 #6 P x12 It’s very close as 1 and 4 tied EPR and 1 was 2 better in TPR that both 4&6 Well see what happens, yesterday FFR was king. Last edited by barryt; 03-13-2020 at 01:03 AM.