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Old 09-05-2017, 02:04 PM   #24
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hi Jeff

FTL's demo is right on. The only thing he might not know is ( maybe he does?)
the sort is based on the Muv and 3 part varius readout

It is not actually sorted by EP as in Early Pace. Early EXDC which is what the bar graph A is showing is. Bar graph B or Paragon B is not Sustained as in SP
Late EXDC is if the race favors other than normal as in late biased

In FTL's example, Energy has called the race variegated Sustained
Therefore the Paragon B bar graphs are preferred for win bets

FTL brings up another point This program is 30+ years old,
At the time this program was "the" program of the methodology,
The emphasis was on winning 66% of your bets from your top 2 selections
Win Percentage was the goal not so much ROI,

You do send me many good reports But you also are an exacta bettor
It was not until Doc's next program KGEN , and then Entropy, that getting the place horse for exacta's was added to the algorithms.

For Exactas with your copy of Energy I suggest you use the "other"
paragon or better yet the 3 0.00 horses on the varius.


Here is how doing exactly what FTL did in his race will get you the winner of race 10 from parx yesterday, which I posted early in the day a few post back .

Here are my lines

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The race is variegated Early So my top two on Paragon A shows the 1 3 and 4

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But you say you will change the variegate based on the o.oo MUV horse
or the energizer ( same thing)
Let's do that, can the 1 go wire to wire? I say no based on its line score and it's paceline so yes you could change the variegate.

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Now the variegated is sustained
and who are the top two on the B Paragon
3 and 4

I think if you follow the Paragons A or B determined by the variegate
your win percentage will go way up
If you use the 3 0.00 horses on the Varius you will catch some nice exactas

It did not work for me here because the 8 placed
(I had it to win along with the 3 )

Good Skill
Bill
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Last edited by Bill V.; 09-05-2017 at 02:07 PM.
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