Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Juvenile Fillies Turf - Race 4

tfm · 10-24-2008, 01:14 PM

Laragh is cutting back and the turf out there is speed favoring, as was the KEE turf her last race. I can thus understand why she might appear to have an advantage. YET she quit like a pig in WO, when she had it all her own way. If this course was REMOTELY FAIR, she'd have no shot.

On the other hand, Saucey Evening, runs from off the pace and is CUTTING back 1/16th. Not exactly the best scenario for a hard course with the rails down. However, she has the best kick out of all of them and she didn't run as straight as we'd want in the lane last out; so there's some room for improvement.

10-24-2008, 01:14 PM	#4
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Laragh is cutting back and the turf out there is speed favoring, as was the KEE turf her last race. I can thus understand why she might appear to have an advantage. YET she quit like a pig in WO, when she had it all her own way. If this course was REMOTELY FAIR, she'd have no shot. On the other hand, Saucey Evening, runs from off the pace and is CUTTING back 1/16th. Not exactly the best scenario for a hard course with the rails down. However, she has the best kick out of all of them and she didn't run as straight as we'd want in the lane last out; so there's some room for improvement.