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Old 03-07-2010, 06:11 PM   #8
barb craven
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada
Posts: 1,308
Tools, Tools, Tools (FU #76)



TOOLS, TOOLS, TOOLS
(Follow Up #76)

"Our doubts are our traitors.” This quote comes from none other than that famous 16th century handicapper William Shakespeare. Shakespeare a handicapper? I don't think so. However, his words certainly identify the bane of many a horse player in any betting venue, and we see it repeat itself again and again, race after race. Can I be right? Have I overlooked some key factor? How do we overcome our doubts? Use the TOOLS of the Methodology.

What are the tools of the Methodology? First on the list is the Doc himself. Without the Doc there are no programs and there is no Follow Up. Second is the Follow Up which you need before you receive any programs. Next are the programs. And following the programs are manuals, tapes and videos. And last but not least is the Office staff. They are all there for us to use, to help erase any DOUBT we may have as we approach the investment windows. Into a handicapping toolbox place the programs and manuals.

Let's look now inside our toolbox at the programs. The programs are our tools, items that you and I can use to do the WORK of handicapping horse races for profit. They are not black boxes or crystal balls. Of and by themselves they are not much good; with the proper handling they allow us to create masterpieces of winning mutuels.

Opening the tool box I find Synthesis. This is a very special tool. Unlike a hammer or a screwdriver which have very specific and limiting functions Synthesis is more like a power drill. With the drill you can do a variety of tasks ranging from sanding, routing, polishing, sharpening and even hole drilling and screw insertion and removal. With Synthesis you have the ability to look at past performances from a variety of aspects-- fractals, entropy, energy, graphs, primary corollaries and secondary corollaries, and Bottom line Betting Line. As a product of and for the handicapping revolution Synthesis is a tool that incorporates previous profitable programs. It does not leave out aspects with which we have become familiar, aspects like POR/POH, Both/And, and Pace Potential. Synthesis then is a multi-faceted tool developed for our use without abandoning successful techniques but incorporating them for our use.

Masterpieces are created by craftsmen who know how to use their tools. Our masterpieces are double digit mutuels, triple digit exotics and beyond. Each of us must be the craftsman who is able to use the programs, to erase all doubts as we invest our unlovable assets.

Each craftsman has their own specially, some technique or approach that singles out their work making it unique. And so it is with Synthesis. Each of us as a handicapping craftsman wi11 find the combination of corollaries and pace line selection that produces winners. It IS work. It DOES payoff.

Like a craftsman who can see the finished product before he begins, we must visualize the results of our efforts. We must not be swayed by the noise around us just as the craftsman is not swayed by the work of others. He may be influenced by the work of other craftsmen, what he actually sees not what he hears, but he still creates his own product. And he is neither swayed nor influenced by drawing board ideas which have not been validated maybe never even tried. Nor is he swayed by what everyone else is doing. Like Buddy Alvarado we must eschew the mainstream and rely on our own abilities to convert past performances into current profit.

We are the craftsmen who will use Synthesis. Just as we are individuals so to will our approach to the windows reflect a personal, unique use of the handicapping process. Just as some craftsmen are able to create so much more from the same raw materials and the same tools so some of you will be able to use Synthesis in approaching the exotic wagers in a much more profitable manner. Some of us will be mechanics. Some of us will be artisans. We can all be profitable. It is up to each of us; and, like any trade, it is relative to the manner in which we employ our methods.

Work and insight help us to see how the races will unfold, where there is a profit to be made, when to pass a race or to invest. We see this in the Follow Up where we, the clients, both provide information and receive information based on the reports of other clients. It is not fantasy. The results are there. The results are repeated time and time again by Methodology craftsmen who use the tools as guides and do the work that turns out the masterpieces.

The latest addition to the tool bag is the Wagering Decision Form or WDF. Here is a program that will let us see how we handicapped each race. It is a tool that is an add on to Synthesis.

It shows where our Bottom line Betting Line contenders actually finished the race. It is another aspect of the Synthesis program that provides a record keeping function for those of us who sometimes get behind in recording our data. With WDF there is a print out that allows us to see from which of the five Bottom Line Betting line levels the winner came. Using the print out we can see the tiers where the winners are coming from as well as be able to see how the winner looked in both primary and secondary corollaries. The important aspect for craftsmen is we see from which tiers and combinations of corollaries the winners emerge as a result of OUR information input and decision making.

Inanimate are the tools. They are lifeless inorganic things. It is up to each of us as handicappers to bring these implements to life - to patiently sift through the past performances selecting the lines and contenders from which the winners will emerge. Confidently, not hastily, use YOUR skills to discern the most profitable and most probable winners from the several readouts available to you.

In order to be a profitable craftsman we must be able to invest from our own successful wagering history. If you do not have a successful history then use the tools to create one and let winning be your new habit, a habit fuelled by your personal triumphs and confidence.

USE the tools. Wield these tools according to the guidelines. Apply the results of the tools to the final outcome - a successful wager.

Eliminate doubt from the list of traitors to your parimutuel success.

The 'Capper here with a race day reminder .... work the plan, be profitable. ‘Til next time.

__________________
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Last edited by barb craven; 03-07-2010 at 08:16 PM.
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