Quote:
Originally Posted by justin13892002
Just curious, why is the 7 Catch My Drift listed as a non-contender? Is it because of the distance, or another factor?
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Hey Justin,
Agreed,
Catch My Drift looks like a 'barn burner' with that 93 SR last out. My opinion, and the consensus of our group, was that true Win contention for a G1 race like this - and specifically against true Graded Stakes tested competition - must likewise be proven in Graded competition. Catch has had 2 races, the last an Optional Claimer (it beat a horse who was running to be claimed for $20K!). The 93 SR (or corresponding Total Energy fig) is too high above it only other race to determine if it is aberrant. It could be on the RAPID improve, but we don't know that from the PP info given.
So - a consistent application of qualities for a Graded Stake, probably means this horse needs more seasoning. Perhaps it does belong somewhere in your vertical bets. Perhaps it will improve dramatically further. Perhaps ...
Anyway, that's my rationale.
Good luck!
Ted