Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - DMR Race 2

Jeebs · 08-12-2018, 03:45 PM

Line 2. Last line is a poly line. Line 2 rates best of last 3. 1st race in 66 days starts new form cycle, and should be supported as the favorite.

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Line 10. The $64,000 question is: Why? The last line and Line 2 are both turf lines, and Line 3 is over a sloppy strip. What does one do when there are no comparable lines to rate? I was reluctant to use the sloppy race, so looked at the perceptor totals over dirt. Perhaps I take what I have and use the sloppy race, but Line 10 rates closest to the best perceptor from the turf. 6-1 ML. IMO, an unknown factor.

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Line 2. NTL speed, and Line 2 is best of last 3. Based on EPR, it has not shown ability to run a 93-94 EPR, which would be needed to chase the #2. TPR and total energy also behind others.

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Last line. Only recent and decent comparable line to today's surface/distance structure.

08-12-2018, 03:45 PM	#3
Jeebs Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 909	Horses 4-5-6-7 and analysis Line 2. Last line is a poly line. Line 2 rates best of last 3. 1st race in 66 days starts new form cycle, and should be supported as the favorite. Line 10. The $64,000 question is: Why? The last line and Line 2 are both turf lines, and Line 3 is over a sloppy strip. What does one do when there are no comparable lines to rate? I was reluctant to use the sloppy race, so looked at the perceptor totals over dirt. Perhaps I take what I have and use the sloppy race, but Line 10 rates closest to the best perceptor from the turf. 6-1 ML. IMO, an unknown factor. Line 2. NTL speed, and Line 2 is best of last 3. Based on EPR, it has not shown ability to run a 93-94 EPR, which would be needed to chase the #2. TPR and total energy also behind others. Last line. Only recent and decent comparable line to today's surface/distance structure.