Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Mitch44 · 10-24-2018, 11:10 AM

Dave;

MPH was the first time the Sartin material was presented to the general public and with Sartin blessings. For one thing he had moved on to other more important discoveries. Even with that many can not grasp the concept of FPS and employ it. It really is the foundation and bed rock of all that followed to propel his material to greater heights.

While some horses run the same every time and are fairly consistent (E with very high consistent % Med) they tend to be the exceptions with the overall majority influenced by the match up in todays race. Every race matchup is different and a horse may never see the same matchup twice. A horse may have the speed or pace to force others into submission early but may just stay close and exert that advantage in the 3rd FR. Many horses tend to only do what they need to do in order to win.

Its impossible to work out an adjustment based on past different pace scenario's that a horse has met. What is important is the scenario he is up against today. One can look at the projected POR today and look to see how a horse has done against something similar for a rough idea but that fails to match the ability of the program.

The RDSS program handles all this stuff based on proven Sartin studies. The matchup is contained within the current Sartin program. Trust the program. The program will supersede what an individual can do with an eyeball scan. Even Sartin who developed all this and was no dummy couldn't do the matchup visually as Bradshaw could do.There may be 1% that can become a Bradshaw. Be on the train with the other 99% that have a shot of arriving at the proper destination.

Just too many adjustments with variants, beaten lengths, track to track, match ups etc. A properly programed computer program isn't prone to mistakes, applies a consistent approach and captures a range of gettable winners. The range of gettable winners can be improved with race selectivity. Even with all that it stills requires money management and discipline.

Having tried to find a precise adjustment for the 3rd Fr what I've learned is that it's a fool's errand. It did make me smarter and gave some insights but that road does not lead to the winners your seeking.

Wishing you success,
Mitch44

10-24-2018, 11:10 AM	#18
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,705	Dave; MPH was the first time the Sartin material was presented to the general public and with Sartin blessings. For one thing he had moved on to other more important discoveries. Even with that many can not grasp the concept of FPS and employ it. It really is the foundation and bed rock of all that followed to propel his material to greater heights. While some horses run the same every time and are fairly consistent (E with very high consistent % Med) they tend to be the exceptions with the overall majority influenced by the match up in todays race. Every race matchup is different and a horse may never see the same matchup twice. A horse may have the speed or pace to force others into submission early but may just stay close and exert that advantage in the 3rd FR. Many horses tend to only do what they need to do in order to win. Its impossible to work out an adjustment based on past different pace scenario's that a horse has met. What is important is the scenario he is up against today. One can look at the projected POR today and look to see how a horse has done against something similar for a rough idea but that fails to match the ability of the program. The RDSS program handles all this stuff based on proven Sartin studies. The matchup is contained within the current Sartin program. Trust the program. The program will supersede what an individual can do with an eyeball scan. Even Sartin who developed all this and was no dummy couldn't do the matchup visually as Bradshaw could do.There may be 1% that can become a Bradshaw. Be on the train with the other 99% that have a shot of arriving at the proper destination. Just too many adjustments with variants, beaten lengths, track to track, match ups etc. A properly programed computer program isn't prone to mistakes, applies a consistent approach and captures a range of gettable winners. The range of gettable winners can be improved with race selectivity. Even with all that it stills requires money management and discipline. Having tried to find a precise adjustment for the 3rd Fr what I've learned is that it's a fool's errand. It did make me smarter and gave some insights but that road does not lead to the winners your seeking. Wishing you success, Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 10-24-2018 at 11:15 AM.