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Old 12-02-2018, 06:00 PM   #7
Bill Lyster
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
I did some research for Ted at SA a couple of seasons ago, trying to find a way tran 25 to use the Trakus info.

there were a couple of patterns that developed, but it seems that the prices were very slim. If you found a place or show horse that ran 25 or more feet than the winner in its previous race and was close to the winner at the end it could be a decent play next out if it projected not to have to run wide again. The odds usually reflected the anticipated outcome if this was the case.

If a horse lost by say 25 feet, but ran 25 feet farther than the winner the extra distance may mean nothing.

If you had an E horse who last started in post 10 and could not get the lead, the distance run usually helped cancel that horse's chances. But if the same horse was drawn closer to the rail without much early pressure, a line E today, the horse could be backed.

But in the end it was a lot of work without much payoff. Thankfully Ted found something for me to research that was a lot more profitable, namely, the work on the top 4 CSR horses and the top 4 low odds horses.
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