Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Ted Craven · 05-05-2006, 06:53 PM

Steve,

The program-calculated SRs in Speculator start at 90 and descend (Barbaro's 95 and 100 from early Turf lines are an abberation, as are the projected final times - ignore them). Other than that - they are what they are. Many people ignore them and instead use the best Perceptor I Total from up-close finishes in Spring G1 and G2 races. (You can modify this analysis by Total Energy/%Median progressions, or phase of the moon, etc, whatever your own studies prove works!)

My only recollections of Doc's recommendations, was to use good Graded Stakes results, and pay attention to 'Sustained Energy' which I believe in modern parlance would be FX or FX plus LPR.

Can anyone cite a Follow Up reference clarifying that further (or disputing the foregoing)?

Ted

05-05-2006, 06:53 PM	#2
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Steve, The program-calculated SRs in Speculator start at 90 and descend (Barbaro's 95 and 100 from early Turf lines are an abberation, as are the projected final times - ignore them). Other than that - they are what they are. Many people ignore them and instead use the best Perceptor I Total from up-close finishes in Spring G1 and G2 races. (You can modify this analysis by Total Energy/%Median progressions, or phase of the moon, etc, whatever your own studies prove works!) My only recollections of Doc's recommendations, was to use good Graded Stakes results, and pay attention to 'Sustained Energy' which I believe in modern parlance would be FX or FX plus LPR. Can anyone cite a Follow Up reference clarifying that further (or disputing the foregoing)? Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™