hello stugots
If you can remember the track and race I can put up the PP's
I can then go thru the horses and show you my criteria.
Basically, my blanket start point for contenders (
win only )
I look for horses with
Plus + pace lines ( color-coded in RDSS)
Some other positives are the horses with + pacelines further down in their PP's
particularly from a
Comparable distance,
Comparable surface
If a horse is coming in with a
20/1 ML
or a very bad win to race percentage
I always marked them as a not for win contender.
Layoffs can be an eliminator.
If off >60 days, It must have good workouts and has shown at least a (+)
at the distance after a 60-day or longer layoff.
If a horse is coming in after a 90-day long layoff.
at any of my 3 main tracks*, I mark them as non-win contenders
but I will watch the tote board and the morning line.
* = SoCal, Parx, NYRA
Here are two horses coming out of the same race
It is race 9 today at Parx
This is a contender
This is a noncontender
