Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Mitch44 · 05-16-2019, 12:32 AM

I find that as a handicapper,figuring what the public may do to is very unpredictable.Horses with a M/L of 3-1 paying $20 and horses 20-1 bet down and paying 5-2. Go figure.

I do agree that money management is the Achilles heel for many players because they fail to address it. Its a major component of success,and how one structures their bets. Also one must capitalize on the public mistakes when they do make a mistake, you have to be good to do that.

Many good priced horses come from following a consistent procedure of approach while the public flails around like a fish out of water.

I don't see EV as the answer to poor handicapping. No EV will make a winner out of poor selections. Period! Even the Kelly can't help someone that can't even pick their nose. Positive expectations come from good handicapping and outperforming your adversary or the public in this case.

Mitch44

05-16-2019, 12:32 AM	#4
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,705	I find that as a handicapper,figuring what the public may do to is very unpredictable.Horses with a M/L of 3-1 paying $20 and horses 20-1 bet down and paying 5-2. Go figure. I do agree that money management is the Achilles heel for many players because they fail to address it. Its a major component of success,and how one structures their bets. Also one must capitalize on the public mistakes when they do make a mistake, you have to be good to do that. Many good priced horses come from following a consistent procedure of approach while the public flails around like a fish out of water. I don't see EV as the answer to poor handicapping. No EV will make a winner out of poor selections. Period! Even the Kelly can't help someone that can't even pick their nose. Positive expectations come from good handicapping and outperforming your adversary or the public in this case. Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 05-16-2019 at 12:34 AM.