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20/1 ml
Hello Speed Figures
I consider Parx to be a middle of the road track, Parx is the only track I keep records from.
Parx offers a great mix of low, average high and stakes races
so I feel my records are useful to this subject.
My database, which consist of every race on every card run at Parx
I will focus on the last 180 races.and just on the winner of those races. These 180 races are from all cards from 8/11
to yesterday 8/14.
In these 180 races the winner had a ML of 20/1 or above just 1 time
that's 1 for 180 !
7 times in those 180 race the winner had a ML of 15/1.
How good is the Parx morning line maker ?
I would say excellent look at these figures.
The average morning line for all 180 winners was 5/1 (5.28)
The average off odds for all 180 winners was also 5/1 (5.39)
Next I checked the races were the winner paid over 20/1.
There were 7 winners in this group.
Here are the results of those races - Off odds and the morning lines
1. 39.60/1 ML 15
2. 29.20/1 ML 12
3. 32.60/1 ML 15
4. 28.20/1 ML 15
5. 24.80/1 ML 10
6. 34.40/1 ML 12
7. 33.90/1 ML 15
By the way the lone winner with a ML of 20/1 or higher?
The crowd bet it down to 10.80/1 and it paid $23.60
This is why I follow the guidelines FTL suggest. the horses at 20/1 ML
just don't win, Yet horse that have run within 90 days and have plus or plus within a zero pace lines win at good prices.
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