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Old 08-30-2014, 02:23 AM   #5
Mark
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 318
How many people would judge a 48.6 gate work as evidence of good health and fitness?
What about a gate work of 1:14 and change 21 days ago?
I perceive this last race as and indication that the horse is ready to run well and given a similar paced race today most likely a wire to wire winner if there are no other Early horses in the field. I'd like her even better if there were no good Pressers in the field.
This is a young lightly raced horse that appears to have enough racing to be fit since the long layoff. While not according to the definitions of the +, 0 or (0), I would give her my own +. She is 5yo now. Half her PPs are from her 2yo year. The most recent 5 are interrupted by two 70+ day layoffs and all but her last were sprints. Look at the fractions of her second back. For the level those are pretty quick and the final time is excellent for the level. I'd say she was beautifully placed in her last race but didn't break.
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