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Old 11-05-2016, 12:15 PM   #3
mick
Abiding Student
 
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 711
Gandalf, thanks for this great contest race. It will make the afternoon even more exciting, if that's possible.

#1 (Effinex) to Win and Place
#6 (Melatonin) to Win

Projected pace - 47.3/1:11.2/2:00.1
That's Chrome's running line two back. While there's a lot of speed, I don't see the winner coming from more than a length or two off the pace. So, I'll call it Early. My contenders are 1, 4, 6, 10.

If Arrogate wasn't in the race, Chrome's M/L would be 3-5 or some such. He's a beast. But we all watched the Travers and saw Arrogate demolish a fine 3YO field. Can he do it again? Not against this older, tougher bunch, but he'll affect the pace. Chrome should win but Arrogate might wear him down enough for another old campaigner like Effinex or Melatonin to catch them at the wire.

mick
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