Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim Y
Pizzola, a former teacher at PIRCO, suggested the simplest of answers: GRASS horses DO NOT have form cycles like dirt/artificial surface horses. Rather than simply evaluate the best of the last several, OPEN up the past performances to ONLY use the best of whatever number of lines are available.
Once this was done a very profitable angle evolved: TWO lines better than the field. Find the best two TPP lines of each horse. Eliminate from those. Sounds simple and it is.
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It's been a while since I read that book by Pizzola. Are you saying that to compare two horses, you pick the 2 best pace lines from each, and to eliminate one of them, both pace lines of one horse must be better than either pace line of the other? What do you do if there is no horse that qualifies?
As I remember, the Handicapping Magic method computed two factors, a speed rating adjusted for early pace and a final fraction time adjusted for beaten lengths. Pizzola said that the latter was much more important in turf routes.
Thanks for any help on this.