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Old 08-17-2021, 08:04 PM   #8
Bill Lyster
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
Just a further note on the four main factors:

Vdc depends on the line you choose. AND, the rankings often are tied, so even if a horse is ranked top 5 there may be more than 5 horses ranked in the top 5. So be careful of ties in Vdc.

Csr can be changed if any of the races had an excuse - and then a really low total energy. But remember if originally a horse you like is not a top 5 Csr its an indication that there may be a problem, forgivable or not, with that horse. In one major instance if todays race is 9f or less, any horse coming from a marathon race (10f and up) will have a very low CSR. If it has several long races in a row, the CSR will not accurately reflect that horses rank. Look for verification in the other factors before discarding.

PL and BPP cannot be changed and there are rarely ties, so usually you will only see 5 horses listed in the top 5 ranks. But when you look at the PPs for each horse you will see at the top the actual PL value and sometimes, the 5 horse will have a 15 PL and then one or two other horses not ranked in the top 5 will also have a PL of 15. Before you eliminate these types, make sure there are other reasons in the array of rankings to eliminate these types of horses.
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