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Well Bill...
This is after the fact but I look at a/all race(s) like this....
How does the horse run?.....I would say "EARLY"....(his wins come on the lead)
Next is ...will his style be favorable for him in this race???
That means , try to foresee the running of the race...will he be comfortable here?
With the 5 in here we can see that getting the lead will not happen..
so the favorite will not be in his comfort zone and it happened and he lost..
mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack
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