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Old 11-01-2019, 01:14 PM   #3
Bill Lyster
Grade 1
 
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
Same race from a slightly different view point:

This is a screenshot of the New Pace info that I have tracked from the last 11 BC's, six of which have been at SA and 7 altogether in Socal. The best Late horse is 12 Arizona, a Euro, the 2nd best Euro is 13, Fort Myers. The top 2 Late Euros have won 6 of 7 socal breeders cup juvenile turf races. Overall, 8 of 11 top 2 Euros have won this race.

The 4 and 14 are the highest rated US runners.

Other considerations. The winner has come from the 13 hole 2 times and the 14 hole once, and all were US horses. Other than that the winner has come from post 1-5 8 times - all top 2 Euros.

The winner has always come from the top 7 ML choices, and 8/11 from the top 4 ML choices.

I will box 12 x 2 x 4 x 14

Surprisingly the turf fillies race has been dominated by the top 4 US horses with 1 Euro favorite and two top 1 Euro horses from this graph.

Good luck today.
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