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Nothing constructive to add, except I really like this thread. Estimate the probabilities as best you can, then hold out for the reward that compensates for the risk. In my beginners opinion, that’s the whole game.
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Vic
"The race may not always be to the swift, nor the victory to the strong, but that's how you bet." - Damon Runyon
"I don't like money actually, but it quiets my nerves." - Joe Louis
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