The fulcrum pace measures is the fastest 2nd call or "EPR". Measurable races must come from the last line, at the same distance(within1/2furlong) The line must be from today's surface.
The line must be a competitive paceline. By competitive, the fulcrum must be from a line in which the horse was equal to or less than the 5th position at the second call. and finished within equal to or less than 5 beaten lengths.
The fulcrum horse is not foolproof but not many things in racing are.
The fulcrum is, however, a very good way to estimate the POR at the second
call and also who will be close enough to compete in today's race
The concept of the fulcrum is not a handicapping factor to pick winners like BLBL or VDC or RX.
The fulcrum is a way to see how competitive each horse should be relative to the fulcrum POR. Within about 2.5 to 3 beaten lengths
1st or 2nd call
Would you be interested in something I found surprising?
This is from my complete model/profile from the just ended Santa Anita meet.
There were a total of 696 races
I not only exported every race and every day, into my RDSS model
I also added my own interest factors, after exporting I used the result
chart to record the winner position and BL at the 1st and second call.
of the
WINNER or the race.
Here is an example
The second call BL and position actually show a better indication percent of the eventual winner
Here is a little breakdown of the position and BL of all 696 winners.
They were equal to or less than 5th position and equal to or less than 5 beaten lengths.
The winner of
92% percent of all
696 winners was equal
to or less than 5 BL at the second call (EPR)
This is a very good supporting factor when looking for those competitive
finished for your fulcrum.
Good Skill
Bill