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Old 01-10-2018, 01:55 PM   #13
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Hi Tom

Excellent post, When I visited Doc, we worked a few races in his office.
I was still pretty new to the methodology.He had me select my pacelines. As I did he looked over my shoulder, Doc entered my lines into his computer.
I remember one race, The horses last three races all did not show much,
I was unsure of which line to uses so I used the F6 (perceptor) paceline indicator It selected line 1. So that is the line I used.
Doc only made a few comments while we worked races. He told me that
although the line was selected, Doc told me that the line probably was overly adjusted, He said look at the second call, It was like a 43.4. Doc told me there was no way the pace would be that fast in today's race.
He had me start over and pay attention to each horse + races and see
what the second call pace of race was in those races. I scanned the PP's and told Doc the pace of the + races for each horse was more like 44.5-45.
I also am glad you mentioned the fulcrum. In the hard bound original
PMTR the example horse earned a 93 EPR . It was not aberrant.
The horse that earned the 93 EPR was the only horse in the race who had shown it could run a + race that fast.
That is what the fulcrum in PMTR is used for. Which horses can or can't compete against the fulcrum pace of race.

Blessings
Bill
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