Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

RichieP · 02-05-2009, 06:02 AM

Adding 3 simple things to Bill's great post:
Record keeping aids:
1) Do exactly what Bill says and reduce fields to the SAME number of final contenders each time. Then track the WINNERS "balance" readout ("Bal" on the Bl/bl screen). You WILL find amazing commonality amongst WINNING HORSES number here.

2) Track the E/L graph "sticks" for WINNING horses. Break it down by track/surface/distance. Put the win price next to each record to see patterns of both low payers and the high payers. Bill was shown this by Doc Sartin when he spent time with Howard at his Pirco offices.

3) The "Power of Tier 3". Pay close attention to what tier YOUR longshots are usually in. Doc Sartin has written MANY times about the THIRD ranked horse on the Bl/Bl being a magnet (paraphrasing here please) which attracts the longer priced horses.

The following 2 screen shots show this tier 3 phenomena of long shots WINNING from that spot. Race ran 2 days ago at Turf Paradise and a $37.60 mutual was most pleasing result. THIRD tier ranked.

All the best

02-05-2009, 06:02 AM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Adding 3 simple things to Bill's great post: Record keeping aids: 1) Do exactly what Bill says and reduce fields to the SAME number of final contenders each time. Then track the WINNERS "balance" readout ("Bal" on the Bl/bl screen). You WILL find amazing commonality amongst WINNING HORSES number here. 2) Track the E/L graph "sticks" for WINNING horses. Break it down by track/surface/distance. Put the win price next to each record to see patterns of both low payers and the high payers. Bill was shown this by Doc Sartin when he spent time with Howard at his Pirco offices. 3) The "Power of Tier 3". Pay close attention to what tier YOUR longshots are usually in. Doc Sartin has written MANY times about the THIRD ranked horse on the Bl/Bl being a magnet (paraphrasing here please) which attracts the longer priced horses. The following 2 screen shots show this tier 3 phenomena of long shots WINNING from that spot. Race ran 2 days ago at Turf Paradise and a $37.60 mutual was most pleasing result. THIRD tier ranked. All the best Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!" Last edited by RichieP; 02-05-2009 at 06:11 AM.