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Old 02-14-2014, 02:51 PM   #7
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Por

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
In this race that would land me on horse 8.
It ran a 91.5 adjusted EPR at CRC in the last line
It was 2 lengths behind so the fulcrum pace of race
in the Feb 7 race at CRC was 93.5
Now I need to see if the 93.5 competitive finish was not atypical for horse 8. and I see that it is not
Horse 8 has run competitively against a 93.5 EPR in other races
So my fulcrum in today's race is 93.5 or about a 45.2 raw

Bill
So after the race we learn that the pace of race was a 45.6 or 45.3 in 5's
The 8 was a none factor. What the fulcrum does show is what the
pace of race a horse can compete against. Micheal Pizzolla's method
told us a horse better be able to compete against a 93 EPR

Here is the winner # 9 Yes indeed the winner and the fulcrum pace in this race # 7 both can run competitively against a 93 (45.2 45.3) POR

Name:  competitivly results.PNG
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Name:  winner #9 fulcrum andrace winner.PNG
Views: 1298
Size:  121.7 KB


Name:  winning guidelines 7.PNG
Views: 1288
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