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Old 02-25-2017, 12:55 PM   #5
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
Mick: Races are carded at different distances to spread the money around so that one horse doesn't win all the money along with conditions of the races. Every horse has a best distance and as little as 40 or 70 yards can cause it to lose because of the deceleration factor, a horses stamina etc. Horses that win at 6F can't win at 6.5 F .Now there are the EXCEPTIONS that win at multiple distances and surfaces but they tend to be classier horses,rare and even those have a best distance and surface. Even a Jack of all trades is better at some things over others. A good trainer quickly learns a horses capability and limitations and places it to capitalize on its abilities. Minor tracks are full of horses who can't get the 6F dis. at major tracks and become winners at the minor tracks where they card a lot of 5.5 and 5.0 F races. Even at major trk's the purses increase as distance increases.

As far as post position studies their not reliable because they fail to account for true contenders, make-up of the field and are a non factor in handicapping as is weight.. Classier horses tend to be able to carry their speed and if outside are able to get position quickly over inside horses and go on to win.

Last edited by Mitch44; 02-25-2017 at 12:57 PM.
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