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Old 08-15-2019, 07:38 PM   #5
Bill Lyster
Grade 1
 
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
Hey, is anyone familiar with Benfords Law? Strangly I read about it in a Tom Clancy novel this summer. Its a statistical stat that says in any valid statistical set of information that the number one ranked factor will appear 30% of the time, the 2nd 17.6%, third 12.5%, fourth 9.8%, then 7.9%, 6.7%, 5.8%.

The BPP info roughly follows that information, but from my old records so does RX3, Favorites, VDC and certain aspects of the EL data developed by Dave Schwartz (best Early by 5 percentage points in this case), also the morning line ratings.

I was wondering if anyone could use this data in some form of algorithm to produce a factor that used many if not all of these factors to predict winners?
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