Thread: UAE Derby
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Old 03-31-2018, 04:19 PM   #2
Mitch44
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Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
That distance was 1 3/16, just 1/1/16 of the Derby distance.


I use to do comparative handicapping as a spot play. Consider these time facts on the same surface and todays date.


Mendelssjohn: 25.09 48.46 111.87 136.,31 155.185 Wire to wire 1 3/16


Thunder Snow in the 10 million race 4 & up:


25.73 50.43 113.89 137,21 201.185 Wire to wire.1 1/4


Mind Your Biscuitts: 24.62 47.04 110.124 Won off the pace. 6F
POR 23.52 45.51 110.124



Notes: 1. W,P & S was taken by 3 US horses with last year BC winner finishing 3rd
2. Purse 2 Million
3. These horses in the sprint run about 1.08 80 or so at some place like SA & 1.09's at other tracks.
4. Based on that I would say this track was slow as compared to Meydan
5. at least 6 lengths for the time based on a norm of 109.2/5 and 9 lengths slow based on a norm of 108.4/5.
6. This really puts Mendelsson time in perspective based on the sprint time and the 4 & up time by Thunder Snow who beat several US horses, notably West Coast.
7. It could be one race too many and may never win again from an tremendous effort, plus can he recover from the Dubai trip in time for the Ky. Derby?


Mitch44
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