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Old 05-15-2019, 10:47 AM   #13
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
It is a fact that the average price of winners has decreased. Just not for BSR but also from pace(Sartin), too many race tracks, and not enough horses to go around that create small fields.

Value is a determination made by the player and like beauty is in the eye of the player. Value can be a horse paying $4.00, where else can you get 100% interest in less than 2 minutes? To say;"Just because a longshot bet wins does not mean it is "value" in a statistical sense." is crazy.

Value is an ideal approach to making money which is extremely insufficient in the market of horseracing as I see it. Due to todays late money that comes into the pools from other outlets,late bettors and whales. Hell we don't really know what odds we are getting until the horses have long left the gate and its too late to bet.

EV as I see it is not a major handicapping factor to beating this game. To beat this game one has to pick winners regardless of price. And if its the best horse you better not leave it out of your bet sequence for EX. DD,P3,P4, etc. In this game you win with winners, they are the key to making money regardless of what they pay or their value.

The player must solve the puzzle for every race they play whether the winner is a short price or a longshot. Neither favorites or longshots are all created equal. And that is done with proven handicapping factors, angles such as pace, SR, consistency etc.

EV is not a major handicapping factor however math can play and does play a role . The math within the RDSS program is amazing. Math is like oil to an engine in that it'll never get you from point A to point B. The main thing is the motor and the motor for horse racing or winners(equine and humans) is proven factors that produce winners. Not what they pay but factors that produce winners.

Mitch44

Last edited by Mitch44; 05-15-2019 at 10:52 AM.
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