Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Hat Check - How Can We Help You? > Matchup Discussion
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Today's Posts

Matchup Discussion Matchup Discussion and Practice

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 10-02-2010, 05:34 PM   #1
PeteC
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
Pen Saturday- 5th race

I thought this one was interesting...6 furlongs at Pen...

I used the pace of the last race for #1A….on the lead in 22.2 45.0. Led to the stretch before fading to 3rd.

#1 fought vs a fast 21.3 44.4 in the last race. That line is FPLR and if you go down to this horses’s power line (Line 7) it shows a win vs 21.3 44.1 sitting 2nd at the 1C.

If you accept that line, then that seems like the right horse. My sense is this race will go OTE though. I have trouble separating four runners: 2, 5, 6, 7.

Did anyone else look at this race?
Attached Images
File Type: pdf darley_216540.pdf (121.5 KB, 538 views)
PeteC is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-02-2010, 06:54 PM   #2
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Match Up in Graphics

Projected Pace 22 45 110

First Screen shows Three Earlys the 1A 6 and 8
Name:  Kgenerator.jpg
Views: 270
Size:  79.3 KB

Next I will match these three
They all rate on top on the EXDC screen so early pace is tough
Name:  1.jpg
Views: 289
Size:  58.3 KB
Next screen shows these three focusing on the first two panels of
Thoromation
Name:  2MU.jpg
Views: 284
Size:  39.2 KB
Attached Images
 
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-02-2010, 07:00 PM   #3
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
New Screens

The 6 goes out first

This screen show the full thoromation preplay here the 8 goes out
Name:  MU3.jpg
Views: 259
Size:  58.0 KB

Next is the new Kgenerator with the best Early=1A Best EP =1
best SUS= 3 and router 7

Name:  NewKGEN.jpg
Views: 282
Size:  65.1 KB
Now the Variegate says OTE or SP and we have bets on 1 and 3
>
>
>
>
Name:  Final.jpg
Views: 273
Size:  53.0 KB
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-02-2010, 08:15 PM   #4
tom
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 644
Thanks for getting me interested in that race!


Ooops....what is a Jockey's Hold? It can't be good???
tom is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-02-2010, 09:11 PM   #5
SilentRun
Grade 1 Aspiree
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteC View Post
I thought this one was interesting...6 furlongs at Pen...
Did anyone else look at this race?
Yes, the 1A was a key horse. First E/L, SC, E/ep, EPR and TT.
I had the 1A for win and an exacta key 1/6,8. Not a big mutual as the 1A paid 7.40 and the exacta paid $20.
The 6 was late and it was a textbook exacta. Take a look at the 6th race.....I wish I can say I had that one.

Ernie
Attached Images
   
SilentRun is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-02-2010, 09:52 PM   #6
SilentRun
Grade 1 Aspiree
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
Pen R9

For the nitecap...at Pen the FTS #10 is the low odds fav. ....But I like the 6 with a combo of the 2 and 3.

Ernie
SilentRun is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-02-2010, 10:18 PM   #7
SilentRun
Grade 1 Aspiree
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
Quote:
Originally Posted by SilentRun View Post
For the nitecap...at Pen the FTS #10 is the low odds fav. ....But I like the 6 with a combo of the 2 and 3.

Ernie
Low odds on the 6 but a win is a win. The E/L graph tells the story.

Ernie
Attached Images
   
SilentRun is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-02-2010, 11:33 PM   #8
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Match Up

This is dedicated to Charlie.

Happy Result

Quote: Follow Up 88
It's too bad clients won't spend a hour learning to understand the concept behind this methodolgy and it's computer programs. They'd all be winners


Win bets 1-3
Attached Images
    

Last edited by Ted Craven; 10-03-2010 at 04:37 PM.
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-03-2010, 10:04 AM   #9
PeteC
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
Thanks for jumping in guys...All the analysis is helpful...
PeteC is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Belmont Saturday chardale Selections 2 06-05-2010 04:11 PM
HANA race -- MTH 9th on Saturday 6/13 alydar_ David Selections 2 06-13-2009 03:18 PM
Jim Bradshaw's 5 Step Approach to learning the Matchup RichieP Hat Check - How Can We Help You? 1 05-25-2009 09:52 AM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:22 PM.