Parx Pace line Pattern Problem Pick - Pace and Cap

Bill V. · 10-16-2011, 12:07 PM

This is horse 7 from todays 10/16/11 Parx race 8 the distance is 6.5
I think the best line is line 3. I did my + 0 and (0)s and I see never a bad race
but Plus + races with better speed ratings every other race. Here are races 1 3 5 7 and 10 they have a plus
races 2 4 6 8 and 9 are (0) Will Today be a Plus + again or back to a (0)

Best represents what will happen today ??

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Bill V. · 10-16-2011, 12:12 PM

Here are my readouts
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Bill V. · 10-16-2011, 12:19 PM

Thoromation
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mikesal57 · 10-16-2011, 12:19 PM

Bill ..I would use his last line ....and like you said ...he looks like he should bounce
if there is another early horse in the race ,then maybe you can find value in someone else

there is speed in this race..keep an eye on the 10 should sit right behind the speed

Bill V. · 10-16-2011, 12:43 PM

Hi Mike I dont see it in the last two races at NW2X48m
But lets see who is left after scratches

here are my contenders and lines at this point

Horse 1 -1
Horse 1A -1
Horse 5 - 1
Horse 7 -3
Horse 8 -3
Horse 9 - 2
Horse 10- 1or2

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Bill

Bill V. · 10-16-2011, 01:01 PM

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GS
Bill

For The Lead · 10-16-2011, 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Here are my readouts
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Attachment 24318
Attachment 24319
Attachment 24321

Bill,
If you look at your graph in this post http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...?t=7808&page=2 you will see one line that is "different" from the others. I don't use graphs, but "TOM" made the comment pointing out the aberrant line (line 5). The same thing holds true in your graph in this thread. Line 3 is considerably different from all the other lines you entered. It seems logical that the aberrant line should not be used as it is not representative of how the horse "normally" runs. Therefore, I would use line 1. Line 1 is on the same surface, it is within 1/2 furlong of today's distance so it is similar and it is the most current race.

Bill V. · 10-16-2011, 03:36 PM

Ok very good I just went with the 9 and 8 in the double

I hope the 7 has a bounch pattern repeat

Bill V. · 10-16-2011, 03:51 PM

In the end I said go with KGEN
Bet the 1 - 5 what the heck

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Thanks

Bill

mikesal57 · 10-17-2011, 11:21 AM

Nice going Bill..you beat my 12-1 shot by a nose

10-16-2011, 12:07 PM	#1
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Parx Pace line Pattern Problem Pick This is horse 7 from todays 10/16/11 Parx race 8 the distance is 6.5 I think the best line is line 3. I did my + 0 and (0)s and I see never a bad race but Plus + races with better speed ratings every other race. Here are races 1 3 5 7 and 10 they have a plus races 2 4 6 8 and 9 are (0) Will Today be a Plus + again or back to a (0) Best represents what will happen today ?? Last edited by Bill V.; 10-16-2011 at 12:14 PM.

10-16-2011, 12:12 PM	#2
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	KGen Plus Here are my readouts Last edited by Bill V.; 10-16-2011 at 12:17 PM.

10-16-2011, 12:19 PM	#3
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	and thoro Thoromation

10-16-2011, 12:19 PM	#4
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Bill ..I would use his last line ....and like you said ...he looks like he should bounce if there is another early horse in the race ,then maybe you can find value in someone else there is speed in this race..keep an eye on the 10 should sit right behind the speed __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack Last edited by mikesal57; 10-16-2011 at 12:26 PM.

10-16-2011, 12:43 PM	#5
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Lines Hi Mike I dont see it in the last two races at NW2X48m But lets see who is left after scratches here are my contenders and lines at this point Horse 1 -1 Horse 1A -1 Horse 5 - 1 Horse 7 -3 Horse 8 -3 Horse 9 - 2 Horse 10- 1or2 Bill

10-16-2011, 01:01 PM	#6
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Lines before scratches GS Bill

10-16-2011, 03:36 PM	#8
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Final Ok very good I just went with the 9 and 8 in the double I hope the 7 has a bounch pattern repeat

10-16-2011, 03:51 PM	#9
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	went with KGEN In the end I said go with KGEN Bet the 1 - 5 what the heck Thanks Bill

10-17-2011, 11:21 AM	#10
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Nice going Bill..you beat my 12-1 shot by a nose __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

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