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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 10-17-2009, 12:40 PM   #1
RichieP
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O.S.A. Gr3 6.5 Turf

This is today's G3 Ken Maddy going the weird(downhill,over poly etc) distance of 6.5f turf.

What I did is take each horses last "good" race at this distance/track and marked them. Some don't have any and they are out.

The 2,4,5 all come out of fast tandem 6 months ago and all appear to be coming to today fine (?)

Though the #5 was the winner today the #4 is being ranked higher and looking at the Bl/Bl score it is a decent gap. 9/2 morning line might bring 9/2 or more live and then I would take a win bet. No low odds for me in this wide open affair.

I also like the fact that the #4 can run up close or run from a bit out of it at TODAYS track/dist. He has lost twice to the #2 but they have been close and if I can get around 5/1 or more on the #4 I take chance/bet that he can reverse tandem finish.

Here are the race conditions/entries/Apv/Cr followed by the Bl/Bl screen with my lines and then the pps of the #2,#4 and #5.

Best of luck/skill and all comments/participation are welcome.

Win bet #4 Reba's Tops at 5/1 or higher 1 mtp
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Old 10-17-2009, 01:03 PM   #2
tfm
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Here's my take:

if I'm looking for BIG past races, the stickout is #2, Gotta Have Her. 3 for 3 at the distance. Interestingly, Tuscan Evening more than holds her own against the 2 when they go 8F (2 turns) but the 2 has her number sprinting.

Would be very surprised if the 4 finished ahead of the 2 (or, even, the 5).
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Old 10-17-2009, 03:32 PM   #3
Bill V.
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Down Hill

hello TFM and Rich

I come up with the 4 and the 11

Funny how I have been typing lines lately ..
These down hill races sure have fast times
You don't see 43.3 calls around these parts !

Good Skill
Bill V.
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Old 10-17-2009, 07:05 PM   #4
Bill V.
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11

The 11 is scratched
i will go with the 3-4
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Old 10-17-2009, 07:17 PM   #5
RichieP
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Result:

John you had the race right as your 2 bucks ran 1st and 3rd. Thats good matching man. 4 had nada and had the right odds to play.

Thanks for jumping in guys.
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Old 10-17-2009, 07:18 PM   #6
Bill V.
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Nice call

Nice work TFM

The 2 was true
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