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Old 10-08-2011, 01:06 PM   #1
Bill V.
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Parx Pacelines Post

Here are my lines for todays 6th race at Parxs

CLM 7500 NW3L 7.0 furlongs

I added my notes with the screen shots

any comments or suggestions would be helpful and welcome
Wish me Luck/skill

Bill V.

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Old 10-08-2011, 01:17 PM   #2
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horses

2 3
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Old 10-08-2011, 01:22 PM   #3
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horse 4 5

4 - 5
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Old 10-08-2011, 01:24 PM   #4
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Bill,

For the 1st horse my opinion would be never use 5.5 fur paceline in a 7 fur race also would be leary of using a good winning effort off a layoff.

Anyway good skill

Jeff
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Old 10-08-2011, 01:25 PM   #5
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horse 6 7

6-7
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Old 10-08-2011, 01:29 PM   #6
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last 3

Last three 8 9 10
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Old 10-09-2011, 10:28 AM   #7
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Excellent job Bill...

Your on your way to be a "true handicapper"
Reading and understanding the horses PP's is the first step..

Now you should consider now to eliminate low percentage horses
Over the years , I've chosen these as my top :

1) odds over 20-1
2) layoffs over 90 days
3) out of the money finishes

yes, its true that some of these come in, but in the long run the percentages will be with you.

in this race you would have eliminated the

2-3-5-7-8-10 thats more than half the field!!!
then you can do whatever you want to use ..match-up or software etc

gl

mike
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Old 11-08-2018, 03:12 PM   #8
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It's been 10 years

I saw this post today. I kind of thought, what would I do today?
My pace line and contender selection methods are a little different.
Things I used to do I no longer do,
I also noticed the race/lines chosen were never reviewed. I no longer
had the RDSS file, so I hand entered my revised line/contenders into thormation


Here are my lines/ contenders, the way I pick them today in 2018

PRX Race 6 Oct 11 2008
CL7500 N3-L

Horse 1 Line 1 + race Line 2 is also a + race from MTH at 6 furlongs But its a maiden win
it's closer to today's distance of 7 furlongs. Yet this is not a N2L race. I will use line 1.I trust thromations adjustments.

Horse 2 Lines 1 and 2 are zero lines at today's condition and distance.
I have no excuses to go to line 4 Line 3 is out No line

Horse 3 No recent plus pacelines

Horse 4 Line 3 is a plus paceline at todays distance and surface
Line 1 and 2 are at the route distance

Horse 5 No lines

Horse 6 Line 1 is a + plus paceline at today's distance, class, and surface

Horse 7
No recent + pacelines Line 1 is a (+)
but at 1 mile Doc would extract here

Horse 8 Off 223 days My notes above say it has the best APV and CR
But the fact it was claimed for 10,000 and never ran since, and now it drops
I say not for the win. I will rate of line 1

Horse 9 Line 1 is a + pace line

Horse 10 No line

The 7 and 8 were scratched

This leaves me with the 1, 4, 6 and 9

Their lines are entered into thoromation

Here is the energy generator. All horses are other then early
The 9 has a big advantage on total energy, So the 2 adjustment is used

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The first preplay ( variegate) screen is the EXDC
1 and 9 are the top 2

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The second (opposite ) screen is the SP
1 and 4 win the top two


Now Thromation
as usually happens when using the 2 adjust the horses finish very closely
but here the 1 wins by a nostril

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How does it look to you, The varigate and thromation say 1 9.
The 4 is the oppisite counter horse

I will post the results in the next post
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Old 11-08-2018, 05:02 PM   #9
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Results

The 1 wins as the favorite

The 4 places and the 9 runs third for the trifecta

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Old 11-08-2018, 08:54 PM   #10
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Thanks for the workup
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